Man Utd v Arsenal Premier League predictions, TV details and match odds

Premier League: Manchester United v Arsenal

Where to watch

Sky Sports Main Event & Premier League, 4.30pm Sunday

Match odds

11-10 Man Utd, 5-2 Arsenal, 13-5 draw.

Form

Manchester United produced a superb performance on Wednesday to dismantle Leipzig 5-0 in the Champions League, doubling their points tally in the group after an equally impressive 2-1 success away to Paris St-Germain.

However, United have not won any of their last five Premier League matches at Old Trafford and suffered the embarrassment earlier this season of losing heavily to Crystal Palace (3-1) and Tottenham (6-1).

Last week's 0-0 draw with Chelsea was at least a step in the right direction defensively in their domestic encounters after they conceded in league wins at Brighton and Newcastle.

Arsenal have won three and lost three of their six top-flight games, although that run included difficult away trips to Liverpool and Manchester City. Last week's home loss to Leicester was more difficult to pass off without any concern.

Team news

Anthony Martial remains suspended and Eric Bailly and Jesse Lingard are injured. New left-back Alex Telles needs to be checked after recently testing positive for Covid-19 despite having no symptoms.

David Luiz was ruled out of Arsenal's Europa League game against Dundalk on Thursday and is rated a "big doubt" by Mikel Arteta to play at Old Trafford. Fellow centre-backs Calum Chambers, Rob Holding and Pablo Mari are also sidelined.

The tactical battle

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer moved to a midfield diamond against Leipzig and afterwards he praised that area of the team with Paul Pogba, Fred and summer signing Donny van de Beek all getting name-checked.

Presumably star man Bruno Fernandes, who was rested in midweek, will return and getting the balance right consistently in midfield remains a headache Solskjaer needs to solve.

Arsenal have been more disciplined in defence and midfield under Arteta, but they have lost their way in attack in recent outings.

In their last three Premier League games their expected-goals figures according to fbref.com were 0.4 against Sheffield United and 0.9 at City and home to Leicester.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang's figures are even more alarming. His xG this term is just 0.8 from only five shots on target and 11 attempts overall.

Verdict

United thrive when they are given space to counter-attack but showed against Chelsea last week that it can be a different story when teams deny their speedy forwards open field to run into.

Previously, Arsenal would have been perfect opponents for them, yet Arteta has made the Gunners a much more disciplined outfit and they are worth backing in the double-chance market with the draw a likely runner. 1-1.

Key stats

• Five of United's last six Premier League home games have ended with both sides scoring
• United have bagged the first goal in eight of their last nine home league games against Arsenal
• Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has notched in three of his last four matches against United
• Arsenal have scored in the second half in eight of their last nine Premier League meetings with United

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