Steve Palmer's free Shriners Children's Open predictions & golf betting tips

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When to bet on the Shriners Children's Open

By 2.55pm on Thursday

Where can I watch the Shriners Children's Open

Live on Sky Sports Golf from 6pm on Thursday

Steve Palmer's Shriners Children's Open predictions

Davis Thompson
3.5pts each-way 28-1 bet365

Cam Davis
3pts each-way 35-1 Betfair

Matti Schmid
1.5pts each-way 50-1 bet365

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Steve Palmer's Shriners Children's Open preview

Tom Kim is seeking to complete a quickfire hat-trick of Shriners Children's Open victories and is being shown great respect by the bookmaking community. It must be noted, though, that both his previous TPC Summerlin successes came with Joe Skovron as his caddie and Skovron left Kim to take the bag of Ludvig Aberg at the end of last year.

Kim has not won anywhere since parting with Skovron and the South Korean has appeared more vulnerable. He was further humbled at the Presidents Cup last time out, having got caught up in a few controversies as the Internationals were soundly thrashed by Team USA.

Kim does not seem to be heading into this title defence with the same level of self-belief he carried 12 months ago, so preference is for ignoring the favourite for better value alternatives.

Steve Palmer's top tip

Davis Thompson 28-1

The John Deere Classic in July provided the stage for a coming-of-age performance from Davis Thompson, a 25-year-old who has always appeared destined to become a great. The former world number one amateur fired weekend rounds of 62 and 64 to romp to a four-shot JDC success.

Thompson won on the Korn Ferry Tour in 2022, then clicked into top gear on the PGA Tour this summer, finishing second in the Myrtle Beach Classic in May, ninth in the US Open and second in the Rocket Mortgage Classic in June and dominating the John Deere from start to finish.

Without links experience, Thompson failed to make an impact in the Scottish Open and Open Championship, but he finished 12th in the Wyndham Championship on his Stateside return, then made it through the first two legs of the FedEx Cup playoffs.

Fresh and raring to go, having been out of action since the BMW Championship at the end of August, expect Thompson to return to the fray in determined fashion. This birdie machine should make merry over the weekend at a track where seven of his eight rounds have been in the 60s, with Shriners finishes of 12th and 35th.

Next best bet

Cam Davis 35-1

Like Thompson, Cam Davis has taken some time off to recharge his batteries. The Aussie was last seen when finishing fifth in the BMW Championship, closing with a 66 which meant he narrowly failed to qualify for the Tour Championship.

Davis was a hugely controversial omission from the Internationals Presidents Cup team as Mike Weir opted for a Canadian who finished 15th in the qualification standings instead. Davis should return with a determination to show just how ridiculous that snub was. This world-class player turns 30 in February and may do so as a three-time PGA Tour champion.

Rounds of 67, 67, 67 and 66 earned him seventh place in last year's Shriners as he finished only three shots off the lead and Davis can be expected to go close again. The forecast for wind in the first half of this event just adds to the claims of a strong ball-striker who is comfortable competing in a breeze.

Other selection

Matti Schmid 50-1

Complete a three-pronged attack with Matti Schmid – a 26-year-old who appears to be approaching the peak of his powers. The German enjoyed an excellent amateur career, then started contending for DP World Tour titles in 2021 before getting PGA Tour starts at the end of 2022.

Schmid finished 26th on his Shriners debut last year, closing with a 63, then he finished third in the Bermuda Championship. This season he clicked into gear in the spring with a series of solid PGA Tour efforts and he has played Sunday golf in his last nine tournaments.

The rough edges appear to be falling off Schmid and his last two tournaments have been particularly encouraging. He was 16th in the Sanderson Farms Championship, closing with rounds of 66, 67 and 68, then he was fifth last week in the Black Desert Championship, finishing with rounds of 67, 67 and 62.

Schmid carded an eagle and seven birdies on Sunday in Utah, with no dropped shots. His driving was amazing at the Black Desert Resort, as well as his putting, so hopes are high that he can contend in the desert again this week.

Course guide for the Shriners Children's Open

Course TPC Summerlin, Las Vegas, Nevada
Prize money $7m ($1.26m to the winner)
Length 7,255 yards
Par 71 – three par-five holes; 11 par-fours; four par-threes
Field 132 The cut Top 65 and ties qualify for round three
Highest-ranked players in field (world ranking in brackets) Tom Kim (25), Davis Thompson (40), Cam Davis (43), Stephan Jaeger (45), Taylor Pendrith (46)
Course records - 72 holes 260 Ryan Moore (2012), Webb Simpson (2013), Sungjae Im (2021), Tom Kim (2022) 18 holes 60 JJ Henry (2013), Rod Pampling (2016), Patrick Cantlay (2022)
Course winners taking part Martin Laird (twice), Ryan Moore, Webb Simpson, Tom Kim (twice)
When to bet By 2.55pm on Thursday
When to watch Live on Sky Sports Golf from 6pm on Thursday
Time difference Las Vegas is eight hours behind the UK and Ireland
Last week – Black Desert Championship 1 M McCarty (50-1), 2 S Jaeger (33-1), T3 L Glover (40-1), K Streelman (200-1), 5 M Schmid (50-1), T6 H English (66-1), J Highsmith (125-1), T8 N Hardy (80-1), L Hodges (125-1)
Course type Desert
Course overview TPC Summerlin has been part of this event since 1992, but the tournament used to be played over several different tracks. Until 2004, it was a five-round affair which was called the Las Vegas Invitational and the Invensys Classic. Then, under the titles of the Michelin Championship (2004-05), the Frys.com Open (2006-07) and the Justin Timberlake Open (2008-12), it became a four-round, 72-hole event. Prior to 2008, other courses were used in tandem with Summerlin, but after Timberlake became tournament host it has been staged exclusively at Summerlin. It is an easy course for professionals and always serves up a birdiefest
The story of last year Tom Kim edged Adam Hadwin by a shot to successfully defend the title
Weather forecast Sunny and windy for the first two days, becoming calmer at the weekend
Type of player suited to the challenge Anyone arriving at Summerlin with a cold putter will struggle to stay the pace. Every hole bar the eighth is a solid birdie opportunity
Key attribute Touch/putting

Steve Palmer's Shriners Children's Open key stat

Five of the last six winners finished in the top 15 of the scrambling statistics

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For those looking for even more extensive golf coverage don't miss Palmer's extra pointers every Wednesday in the Racing Post newspaper.

As well as his tips and insight you will also get expert spotlight comments for all players in our extensive PGA Tour and DP Tour price comparison grids which include course and recent form, plus Palmer's unique attribute icons to help identify the type of players likely to be suited to conditions each week.

Steve PalmerRacing Post Sport

Published on 16 October 2024inPGA Tour

Last updated 14:00, 16 October 2024

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