Steve Palmer's free Genesis Championship predictions & golf betting tips

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When to bet on the Genesis Championship

By 11pm on Wednesday night

Where can I watch the Genesis Championship

Live on Sky Sports+ from 6am on Thursday

Steve Palmer's Genesis Championship predictions

Yannik Paul
3pts each-way 25-1 Betfair, Power

Guido Migliozzi
2.5pts each-way 25-1 bet365

Gavin Green
2pts each-way 33-1 BoyleSports, Coral, Ladbrokes

Daniel Hillier
1.5pts each-way 55-1 bet365

Jeong-Weon Ko
1pt each-way 125-1 Hills

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Steve Palmer's Genesis Championship preview

Tom Kim and Byeong Hun An dominate the betting for the Genesis Championship, but the South Korean duo can be opposed on value grounds. Kim was a flopping favourite in the Shriners Children's Open last week and may lack confidence for his course debut this week.

An is also competing at Jack Nicklaus Golf Club for the first time. Both Kim and An had a difficult time at the Presidents Cup last month and look too short in the Genesis betting.

Steve Palmer's top tip

Yannik Paul 25-1

Dan Bradbury rode his luck to edge out Yannik Paul and others by a shot in the French Open the week before last. The Paris shootout provided further proof that Paul has his iron-play back to an elite level and the 30-year-old German can be fancied to claim a second DP World Tour title in Korea on Sunday.

Paul got his putter purring in the Dunhill Links and has been rounding into peak form over the last month. A missed cut by a shot on his course debut in the Andalucia Masters last week is easy to forgive and he has freshened up for a layout on which he has excelled before.

Paul tied for the lead at the halfway stage of last year's Korea Championship at JNGC. He had a tough weekend and dropped from first to 38th, suffering a trio of cardbusters – two triple-bogeys and a double – but he showcased a general liking for the course.

Approach-play is the key to success at this venue and we can expect Paul, who lies fifth on the DPWT greens-in-regulation stats, to contend again.

Paul's twin brother Jeremy earned a PGA Tour card for next season through the Korn Ferry Tour this month. Yannik can threaten a PGA Tour card of his own with a spectacular finish to his DPWT campaign and a prominent place in the Race to Dubai Rankings.

Next best bet

Guido Migliozzi 25-1

Four-time DPWT champion Guido Migliozzi should be in the thick of things throughout. The 27-year-old Italian won the KLM Open in June, further advertising the quality of his A-game, which famously took him to fourth place on his US Open debut in 2021.

Migliozzi, eighth at Crans-sur-Sierre last month, got better in each round of the Dunhill Links, carding 73, 71, 64 to miss the 54-hole cut by a shot, then he finished 18th in the French Open after back-to-back 67s at the weekend.

Migliozzi took a breather last week – he was one of a very few Race to Dubai PGA Tour card contenders to skip the Andalucia Masters – and that should help him sustain a title tilt in Korea. He finished 14th in last year's Korea Championship, closing with a nine-under-par, bogey-free 63, so will be licking his lips at the prospect of teeing up at JNGC again.

Other selections

Gavin Green 33-1
Daniel Hillier 55-1
Jeong-Weon Ko 125-1

Two wild drives early in round one killed the Andalucia Masters hopes of Gavin Green – and he spent 36 holes with a cold putter – but his iron-play was excellent in a round-two 69 and there seems every chance of the Malaysian bouncing back from that missed cut by contending in his home continent this week.

Green's iron-play on his way to 13th place in the French Open was out of this world. With more generous fairways in Korea, he should be able to get his ball in play, so he can pepper pins. This lean spell on the greens will surely end soon. He was the second-best putter in last year's Korea Championship, so has come to greens he likes, and he closed with a bogey-free 67 for 14th place at JNGC last year. He has won on the Asian Tour in Taiwan and a DPWT breakthrough could come a little further north on Sunday.

Complete the attack with Daniel Hillier and Jeong-Weon Ko. Hillier is a 26-year-old New Zealander blessed with effortless power. He should be able to destroy the par-fives at JNGC. He won on the Challenge Tour in both 2021 and 2022, then made a DPWT breakthrough in the British Masters last summer.

Hillier, a top amateur who was always expected to make an impact, has shown some flashes of his best lately. 

He was brilliant over the weekend of the BMW PGA, finishing 18th at Wentworth – a second top-20 this year in high-class company after 19th spot in the Open at Troon. He was lively in the Dunhill Links, opening with a 63 en route to 25th place.

Hillier teed up at JNGC in the 2016 Asia-Pacific Amateur, finishing 15th, then missed the cut on the mark in last year's Korea Championship. Three disaster holes – a trio of doubles – masked some otherwise good golf. He carded par or better at 32 of the 36 holes he played and the better weather this year works in his favour.

Ko, a Frenchman of Korean descent, will not lack support this week. This rising star, who turned pro in 2020, has gone from the Alps Tour to the Challenge Tour to the DPWT. He finished fourth in the Mauritius Open at the end of 2022, then this year fifth place in the Indian Open was followed by fourth in the British Masters last month.

Last year Ko turned up for the Korea Championship in poor form, but closed with a 67 for tenth place. Something similar can be expected this week.

Course guide for the Genesis Championship

• Course Jack Nicklaus Golf Club Korea, Incheon, South Korea
• Prize money $4m ($666,800 to the winner)
• Length 7,470 yards
• Par 72 – four par-fives; ten par-fours; four par-threes
• Field 126 The cut Top 65 and ties qualify for round three
• Highest-ranked players in field (world ranking in brackets) Tom Kim (25), Byeong Hun An (36), Nicolai Hojgaard (53), Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen (102), Sebastian Soderberg (109)
• Course records - 72 holes 270 Seung-hyuk Kim (2017); 18 holes 63 Antoine Rozner (2023), Guido Migliozzi (2023)
• Course winners taking part Tae-Hee Lee, Yeong-Su Kim, Sang Hyun Park, Pablo Larrazabal
• When to bet By 11pm on Wednesday night
• When to watch Live on Sky Sports+ from 6am on Thursday
• Time difference South Korea is eight hours ahead of the UK and Ireland
• Last week – Andalucia Masters 1 J Guerrier (66-1), 2 J Campillo (50-1), 3 D Brown (150-1), T4 R Hojgaard (18-1), J Smith (28-1), 6 J Rahm (3-1), T7 T Olesen (20-1), J Kruyswijk (500-1), R Langasque (100-1), P Waring (100-1), F Zanotti (125-1)
• Course type Parkland
• Course overview This was a Korean Tour event staged at Jack Nicklaus Golf Club Korea from 2017 through 2023. The Korea Championship was a co-sanctioned DP World Tour and Korean Tour event at JNGCK in April last year. The 2015 Presidents Cup was at this venue, as well as the 2016 Asia-Pacific Amateur Championship. JNGCK is a Nicklaus-designed, urban, parkland venue, located near the coast. The fairways are generous, but approach shots challenging, with finding the right sections of undulating greens the most difficult task
• Story of last year Pablo Larrazabal won the Korea Championship – the eighth of his nine DPWT titles
• Weather forecast Sunny and calm, with temperatures peaking at 22C
• Type of player suited to the challenge With four par-fives reachable in two shots and two short par-fours, a powerhouse hitting accurate iron-shots should make merry in the forecast calm
• Key attribute Accuracy

Steve Palmer's Genesis Championship key stat

The top two players on last year's leaderboard finished in the top five of the greens in regulation statistics

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For those looking for even more extensive golf coverage don't miss Palmer's extra pointers every Wednesday in the Racing Post newspaper.

As well as his tips and insight you will also get expert spotlight comments for all players in our extensive PGA Tour and DP Tour price comparison grids which include course and recent form, plus Palmer's unique attribute icons to help identify the type of players likely to be suited to conditions each week.