Everton vs Newcastle prediction, betting tips and odds

Where to watch Everton vs Newcastle

You can watch Everton vs Newcastle in the Premier League at 5.30pm on Saturday, October 5, live on Sky Sports Main Event & Premier League

Match prediction & best bet

Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
2pts 17-20 Coral, Ladbrokes

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Everton vs Newcastle odds

Everton 9-4
Newcastle 6-5
Draw 27-10

Odds correct at time of publishing

Everton vs Newcastle predictions

A Dwight McNeil brace lifted Everton to their first win of the Premier League season against Crystal Palace at Goodison Park last weekend and that should give the Toffees a sense of optimism going into their visit from an injury-hit Newcastle.

Sean Dyche's side had taken only one point from their opening five matches and home supporters must have been feeling the pressure once Marc Guehi had given Palace an early breakthrough last Saturday.

But Everton showed plenty of character to turn things around given their sluggish start to the season and there has been no issue with them finding the net in recent assignments.

They claimed a 1-1 draw at Leicester prior to their breakthrough 2-1 victory over Palace and before that they had let 2-0 leads slip in defeats to Bournemouth and Aston Villa.

With star striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin fit and healthy, Everton have an outlet and they will fancy causing problems for a Newcastle side who have failed to keep a league clean sheet since their opening-day victory at home to struggling Southampton.

The Magpies are still being hit by a raft of injuries and there is an unsettled look about them defensively with towering Dutchman Sven Botman still sidelined.

Eddie Howe's side will be buoyed by their latest 1-1 draw at home to champions Manchester City, but away from St. James' Park there has been a persistent vulnerability about them.

Newcastle were convincingly beaten 3-1 at Fulham on their last away trip, while they needed two late wonder-strikes to turn a 1-0 deficit into victory at Wolves having also been held to a 1-1 draw by Bournemouth.

It means that both teams have scored in each of their last five league games and the trend is fancied to continue against Everton, who have been extremely leaky for a Dyche side usually complemented for their defensive steel.

The Toffees have conceded 15 goals in six league games – their only clean sheet in all competitions this term came at home to League Two outfit Doncaster in the EFL Cup – and it is a weakness Newcastle can exploit even in the absence of Alexander Isak and Callum Wilson.

But the Magpies have won only six of their last 19 away league games and they are difficult to recommend as favourites at Goodison Park, where they were soundly beaten 3-0 last season.

So goals look the way to go. Five of Everton's six league matches this season have gone over 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in their last four outings, while Newcastle have kept only one clean sheet in their last 19 away league fixtures.

Key stat

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals has been a winning bet in ten of Newcastle's last 13 away league matches.

Everton vs Newcastle team news

Everton
Despite returning in the win over Palace last weekend, Jarrad Branthwaite is again a doubt after injuring his thigh in training. Seamus Coleman, Chermiti and Armando Broja are all sidelined. Nathan Patterson is nearing a return after six months out.

Newcastle
Lewis Miley and Callum Wilson are not expected to feature until later in the month while Sven Botman and Jamaal Lascelles are out for the longer term. Alexander Isak continues to struggle with a toe injury and Matt Targett is a doubt. Nick Pope, Fabian Schar and Kieran Trippier are all expected to be available.

Probable teams

Everton (4-2-3-1): Pickford; Young, Tarkowski, Keane, Mykolenko; Mangala, Doucoure; Harrison, McNeil, Ndiaye; Calvert-Lewin.
Subs: Lindstrom, Garner, Gueye, Iroegbunam, Beto, Virginia, O'Brien, Armstrong.

Newcastle (4-3-3): Pope; Trippier, Schar, Burn, Hall; Tonali, Bruno Guimaraes, Joelinton; J Murphy, Gordon, Barnes.
Subs: Almiron, Willock, Longstaff, Livramento, Osula, Krafth, Kelly, A Murphy.

Inside info

Everton

Star man Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Top scorer Dwight McNeil
Penalty taker Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Card magnet Ashley Young
Assist ace Dwight McNeil
Set-piece aerial threat James Tarkowski

Newcastle

Star man Bruno Guimaraes
Top scorer Harvey Barnes
Penalty taker Anthony Gordon
Card magnet Joelinton
Assist ace Jacob Murphy
Set-piece aerial threat Dan Burn

Everton vs Newcastle bet builder predictions

Both teams to score
Both teams have scored in Everton's last four league games as well as in Newcastle's last five.

Ashley Young to be shown a card
The Everton veteran has three cards in six appearances this season and he committed two fouls in last weekend's win at home to Crystal Palace.

Harvey Barnes to have a shot on target
The Newcastle winger has looked a real menace upon returning from injury, scoring in three of his last four league appearances.

Pays out at 6-1 with bet365

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Published on 4 October 2024inPremier League