Free Premier League tips, best bets and predictions for Bournemouth vs Southampton. Plus a £40 Sky Bet free bet offer

Where to watch Bournemouth vs Southampton

You can watch Bournemouth vs Southampton in the Premier League at 8pm on Monday September 30, live on Sky Sports Main Event & Premier League

Match prediction & best bet

Bournemouth -1 goal on Asian handicap
1pt 2.040 bet365

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Bournemouth vs Southampton odds

Bournemouth 8-13
Southampton 17-4
Draw 17-5

Odds correct at time of publishing

Bournemouth vs Southampton predictions

Bournemouth have looked far better than one win from their opening five Premier League assignments suggests and they can showcase their talent at home to struggling south-coast rivals Southampton.

The Cherries have endured back-to-back defeats to nil against Chelsea and Liverpool and their only high point came in a 3-2 win away at Everton, when they scored three times after the 87th minute to turn a 2-0 deficit into victory.

Andoni Iraola’s side had recorded score draws with Nottingham Forest and Newcastle prior to that and at the start of this weekend they had had the third most shots in the Premier League behind only Manchester City and Tottenham with 84 efforts from their five games.

There will be plenty of pressure on Bournemouth to regain the winning touch against a Southampton side who have taken only one point from five outings following last season’s promotion from the Championship.

The Saints picked up their first point of the campaign in a 1-1 draw at home to Ipswich last weekend, having suffered defeats to Newcastle, Nottingham Forest, Brentford and Manchester United prior to that.

Southampton have scored only twice and have conceded nine goals, with manager Russell Martin refusing to change his tactics and persisting with a possession-based approach, attempting to play out from the back.

That comes with its flaws without having the right personnel against the elite teams and it is a style that may be punished by Bournemouth, who are one of the best pressing sides in the top flight.

The Cherries should be able to force mistakes from the Saints and in Marcus Tavernier, Justin Kluivert, Antoine Semenyo and Evanilson they have the attacking assets to capitalise on any mishaps.

Bournemouth have lost only four of their last 16 Premier League home games and they should be able to create plenty of chances against a Southampton side who look destined to be embroiled in a relegation battle.

The Saints rank third for expected-goals against while they have also been wasteful in forward areas, scoring only twice from a generated expected-goals figure of 7.1.

So, all things considered, Bournemouth should be hopeful of outscoring the sloppy Saints and backing the hosts -1 goal on the Asian handicap is where the value may lie. Stakes will be returned if Bournemouth win by only one goal while a bigger margin of victory is a winning bet.

Key stat

Southampton have won only two of their last 15 Premier League away matches.

Bournemouth vs Southampton team news

Bournemouth
The hosts have no new injury concerns, but head coach Andoni Iraola serves a one-game touchline ban. Midfielder Tyler Adams is the Cherries’ only confirmed absentee.

Southampton
Gavin Bazunu, Will Smallbone and Kamaldeen Sulemana are ruled out through injury and Jack Stephens serves the final game of a three-match suspension.

Probable teams

Bournemouth (4-2-3-1): Kepa; Smith, Zabarnyi, Senesi, Kerkez; Cook, Christie; Semenyo, Kluivert, Tavernier; Evanilson.
Subs: Unal, Araujo, Huijsen, Sinisterra, Scott, Brooks, Hills, Ouattara.

Southampton (4-2-3-1): Ramsdale; Sugawara, Harwood-Bellis, Bednarek, Taylor; Lallana, Downes; Dibling, Fernandes, Fraser; Archer.
Subs: Aribo, Brereton Diaz, Cornet, Stewart, Wood, Walker-Peters, Armstrong, Ugochukwu.

Inside info

Bournemouth

Star man Antoine Semenyo
Top scorer Antoine Semenyo
Penalty taker Evanilson
Card magnet Ryan Christie
Assist ace Antoine Semenyo
Set-piece aerial threat Marcos Senesi

Southampton

Star man Cameron Archer
Top scorer Yukinari Sugawara/Tyler Dibling
Penalty taker Cameron Archer/Adam Armstrong
Card magnet Flynn Downes
Assist ace Adam Lallana
Set-piece aerial threat Jan Bednarek

Bournemouth vs Southampton bet builder predictions

Bournemouth to win
The Cherries should have too much class for a Southampton side who have taken only one point from five league outings.

Over four cards
There have been five or more cards dished out in four of Bournemouth's last five games.

Antoine Semenyo to have over 1.5 shots on target
Only Erling Haaland and Eberechi Eze have had more shots this season than Bournemouth’s Antoine Semenyo, who has had 24 efforts in his five games, and he can hit the target at least twice.

Pays out at 7-1 with bet365

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