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2024-25 Premier League relegation prediction, betting odds and tips: Tractor Boys look value to avoid the drop

Racing Post football expert Jack Ogalbe takes a look at the 2024-25 Premier League relegation battle – and has a 13-8 tip for survival

Kieran McKenna's Ipswich look the most likely of the promoted sides to mount a survival push
Kieran McKenna's Ipswich look the most likely of the promoted sides to mount a survival pushCredit: David Rogers

Best bet

Ipswich to stay up
1pt 13-8 bet365

2024-25 Premier League relegation prediction

They couldn't … could they? Monday's defeat to Newcastle saw Manchester United cut to 20-1 to be relegated, having traded at 200-1 as recently as Boxing Day.

They sit 14th after three defeats on the spin and much mirth has passed through message boards and WhatsApp groups. But the Red Devils are as big as 14-5 in the double chance market for Sunday's trip to Liverpool and bookmakers are likely to be sharpening their knives for another price slice on their relegation odds.

At least a now-relatively solid start for Erik ten Hag and some reasonable showings under interim boss Ruud van Nistelrooy means they still have a seven-point cushion on the bottom three. 

Everton are improving and Vitor Pereira is starting well at Wolves so pre-season predictions about the promoted sides going straight back down look likely to come true as we hit the halfway mark of the Premier League, and all three are odds-on for the drop.

Bottom club Southampton need new players to help new boss Ivan Juric rescue them. Ditto Leicester, who, having avoided a points deduction, sacked Steve Cooper after slipping to 16th but have won only once under his replacement Van Nistelrooy to drop to 19th.

Ipswich, currently 18th, are the potential wildcard after Monday's 2-0 win over Chelsea – their first at home. The Suffolk outfit have shown promise and after primarily recruiting from the Championship, might now be adapting to the Premier League. 

Kieran McKenna's Tractor Boys are still to host five clubs currently in the bottom half, making the 13-8 about them avoiding the drop something to consider.

Their rise could add to United's demise. Too good to go down? How about not very good at all? Ruben Amorim remains devoted to his 3-4-3 formation but it doesn't suit his players and the only team being overstretched by the manager's approach is his own.

Five defeats in six, the anomaly being a fortuitous 2-1 win at Manchester City when they trailed after 87 minutes, is relegation form.

Sunday's game at Anfield is unlikely to provide respite and another defeat from a nightmare trip to Arsenal in the FA Cup could leave Amorim's position in genuine peril.

However, there is a quirk in the relegation market with neighbours Manchester City still shorter at around 10-1. Rodri's absence has decimated them but their poor form has coincided with  hearings over their alleged 115 historical breaches of profit and sustainability rules.

No verdict is expected until February at the earliest but even then, it could be subject to weeks, months, or maybe years of appeals, leading to a possible delay in any potential punishment.

United are the out-of-form horse, but even a best price of 33-1 is too short to back them to go down. 

Saints and Leicester appear doomed but a little look at Ipswich to survive might be worthwhile. Although others' improvements make it a tall task, the City situation makes it a live one.

More Premier League predictions . . .

Outright winner prediction: Can anyone catch Liverpool?

Top goalscorer prediction: Haaland could still hunt down Salah

Top-four finish prediction: Magpies set for Champions League return


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