Ireland vs Finland prediction, betting tips and odds: Back Bhoys in Green to trouble Finns

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Where to watch Ireland vs Finland

You can watch Ireland vs Finland in the Nations League at 7.45pm on Thursday November 14, live on Viaplay International YouTube channel.

Match prediction & best bet

Ireland to win and under 3.5 goals
2pts 23-20 BoyleSports, Coral, Ladbrokes

Sammie Szmodics first goalscorer
1pt each-way 5-1 bet365

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Ireland vs Finland odds

Here are the latest odds ahead of Ireland vs Finland in the Nations League on Thursday November 14

Odds correct at time of publishing

If the above bets aren't enough for you, make sure you take a look at Racing Post Sport's tips for more of the latest picks from our experts.

Ireland vs Finland predictions

One win from three games means Ireland are up against it in their bid to make it out of their Nations League section and reach the playoffs. 

The Bhoys in Green sit third and are six points behind England, meaning they must win both of their remaining games and rely on their rivals losing each of theirs. 

The second part of that checklist seems unlikely, but they can at least make progress towards the first in Dublin, thanks to a favourable fixture against the group’s basement boys, Finland.  

The Finns have endured a miserable Nations League campaign, losing all four of their matches, conceding ten goals and scoring just two. 

They were beaten 2-1 by Ireland in Helsinki last month and look set to suffer a similar result at the Aviva Stadium. 

While Ireland have yet to earn a point at home – or even score a goal – in the Nations League, they beat a solid Hungary side 2-1 in their previous home match, while they also held Belgium to a 0-0 draw in Dublin back in March. 

Finland, in contrast, are winless on their travels in 2024, losing four times and shipping 15 goals in those five games. 

The Bhoys in Green should edge this clash which is unlikely to be full of fireworks. 

The two teams have scored a combined four goals in the Nations League this term, with three of those coming in the sides’ meeting last month. 

None of Ireland’s last ten matches have featured more than three goals, so taking under 3.5 alongside a home win looks the best route to profit. 

At a bigger price, Sammie Szmodics is worth a look in the first goalscorer market as no player in the Ireland squad is averaging more shots per game than his 1.3 in the Nations League.

The midfielder has scored two goals in his last three appearances for Ipswich and both of those were the opener, so he appeals as a pick to get the ball rolling in Dublin. 

Key stat

Finland have lost all four of their 2024-25 Nations League games. 

Ireland vs Finland team news

Ireland
Seamus Coleman, Shane Duffy and Adam Idah have withdrawn from the squad while Chiedozie Ogbene and Robbie Brady are also out.

Finland
Aberdeen’s Topi Keskinen and Augsburg’s Frederik Jensen are among those to be omitted from the squad despite featuring last month. Former Norwich striker Teemu Pukki is battling with Joel Pohjanpalo to start up front.

Probable teams

Ireland (4-2-3-1): Kelleher; O'Shea, Collins, Scales, Manning; Cullen, Knight; Johnston, Azaz, Szmodics; Ferguson

Finland (4-2-3-1): Hradecky; Stahl, Hoskonen, Ivanov, Uronen; Schuller, Peltola; Lod, Kamara, Antman; Pohjanpalo

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