Netherlands vs England prediction, betting tips and odds

Paddy Power are offering new customers the chance to back either England to make the Euro 2024 final at 50-1 or the Netherlands at 70-1.

We’ve included instructions on how to grab your offer later on in this article.

Where to watch Netherlands vs England

You can watch Netherlands vs England in the Euro 2024 semi-final at 8pm on Wednesday July 10th, live on ITV1.

Match prediction & best bet

England to qualify
1pt 4-5 Hills

England rose to the challenge when defeating Switzerland on penalties in the Euro 2024 quarter-finals and they may have a little too much nous for the Netherlands, who may fall short of reaching their first European Championship final since 1988.

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Or head to Paddy Power and back the Netherlands to win the tie at 70-1

Netherlands vs England odds

Netherlands 9-4
England 13-8
Draw 15-8

Odds correct at time of publishing

Netherlands vs England predictions

England are the only semi-finalist at Euro 2024 to have never been crowned European champions, but they have become accustomed to competing at the business end of major tournaments and their experience of high-pressure games could be key to defeating the Netherlands in Dortmund.

Gareth Southgate has received plenty of criticism for the risk-averse nature of England's performances but he is preparing the Three Lions for their third major tournament semi-final in just six years.

In contrast, the Netherlands' best effort in that time has been a run to the quarter-finals of the 2022 World Cup.

The Dutch have not appeared in the World Cup semi-finals since 2014 and last reached the final four of a European Championship 20 years ago, when they were edged aside 2-1 by hosts Portugal.

Experience is never a guarantor of success but it does help in clutch moments such as England's penalty shootout win over Switzerland on Saturday, when there seemed to be clarity of mind and confidence behind every spot-kick they took.

England's performance against the Swiss received excessive praise, but it was undoubtedly an improvement on what had gone before and leaves Three Lions fans dreaming that a successful summer could still be on the cards.

However, the market reaction has been fairly subdued with England's title odds contracting only marginally from 7-2 to 11-4 since the start of the knockout rounds.

For the first time in the tournament there is a more realistic assessment of England's chances and it can be argued that, at a shade of odds-on, they are a value bet to get past the Netherlands on Wednesday.

The odds about a Dutch triumph at Euro 2024 have shrunk markedly from 12-1 to 5-1 following knockout victories over Romania and Turkey, but their quarter-final showing against the Turks was far from convincing.

Ronald Koeman's side were outplayed for large periods of the first half and were probably relieved to have reached half-time only one goal behind.

Then came a change of tactics and personnel with target man Wout Weghorst coming on for winger Steven Bergwijn, and the more direct approach paid dividends when Stefan de Vrij's headed goal changed the course of the game.

The Dutch edged in front only six minutes later when Cody Gakpo, their outstanding player of the tournament, forced Mert Muldur to put through his own net, and the Oranje held on despite a flurry of late chances for Turkey, who had look dangerous throughout.

Turkey's failure to get over the line was influenced by losses of concentration at the back and a lack of composure in offensive situations. However, the Dutch performance was full of rough edges, including the inability to stop Turkey's key men Hakan Calhanoglu and Arda Guler receiving the ball in dangerous areas.

There was a lack of dynamism and energy in midfield and that may prove costly against England, who may find it easier to get their creative match-winners, Phil Foden and Jude Bellingham, heavily involved.

Bellingham has had a strange tournament, producing moments of magic in the victories over Serbia and Slovakia but struggling to get involved for long periods in other games.

Phil Foden has probably been more involved in England's build-up play and has registered nine shots, the second-most of any Three Lions player.

That said, Foden's performances in Germany have been nowhere near the levels he frequently attained for Manchester City in the Premier League last season, when he contributed 19 goals and eight assists for the English champions.

Getting Bellingham and Foden to gel is a conundrum Southgate is still trying to solve.

However, the duo showed some more encouraging signs against the Swiss and either could produce a match-winning moment to take England through to the first major final on foreign soil.

Key stat

England are unbeaten in their last 13 competitive games.

Netherlands vs England team news

Netherlands
Steven Bergwijn has been substituted at half-time in each of the last two games and could lose his place in Ronald Koeman's starting 11. Wout Weghorst and Donyell Malen are possible replacements.

England
Marc Guehi is free to play after serving a one-match ban and could replace Ezri Konsa in defence. Luke Shaw has declared himself fully fit but is likely to start on the bench.

Probable teams

Netherlands (4-2-3-1): Verbruggen; Dumfries, De Vrij, Van Dijk, Ake; Schouten, Reijnders; Malen, Simons, Gakpo; Depay.

England (3-4-2-1): Pickford; Walker, Stones, Guehi; Saka, Mainoo, Rice, Trippier; Bellingham, Foden; Kane.

Inside info

Netherlands

Star man Virgil van Dijk
Top scorer Memphis Depay
Penalty taker Cody Gakpo
Card magnet Tijjani Reijnders
Assist ace Denzel Dumfries
Set-piece aerial threat Virgil van Dijk

England

Star man Jude Bellingham
Top scorer Harry Kane
Penalty taker Harry Kane
Card magnet Kieran Trippier
Assist ace Phil Foden
Set-piece aerial threat John Stones

Match info

Fifa rankings
Netherlands 7, England 5

Venue
Westfalenstadion, Dortmund

Weather
Clear, 23C

Read on for more top tips & analysis for Netherlands vs England . . .

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Paddy are offering 50-1 on England or 70-1 on the Netherlands to make the final

We’ve already mentioned that Paddy Power are offering enhanced odds on either England or the Netherlands to make the Euro 2024 final.

Here is how you can back either England at 50-1 or the Netherlands at 70-1 when you place a qualifying bet on Wednesday's Euro 2024 semi-final.

Head over to Paddy Power through this link to sign up using promo code YFBCXK (for England) or YFBCXJ (Netherlands).
Deposit a minimum of £10 by cards or Apple Pay.
Place a maximum £1 bet on the 'To Qualify for the Next Round' market for either England or the Netherlands on Wednesday, July 10.
If your bet is successful, you will be paid in cash based on the normal price on site and will have the extra amount, bringing the bet up to the cumulative 50-1 or 70-1 payout, credited in free bets.

Paddy Power betting sign-up offer: terms and conditions

It's worth taking a few minutes to read through the terms and conditions associated with the new player promotion before signing up. Doing so will help you get a better grasp of the details of this Paddy Power betting offer and what's expected of you as a new player. This promotion gives you either £50 or £70 in free bets. T&Cs apply, including the following:

New customers only.
Available to residents of the UK & Ireland.
Open a new account using promo code YFBCXK (for England) or YFBCXJ for Netherlands.
Deposit a minimum of £10 by Cards or Apple Pay.
Place a max £1 bet on the "To Qualify for the Next Round" market for either team in Netherlands vs England.
Cashed Out, Partially Cashed Out and Power Price bets will not count towards the promotion.
If you place a qualifying bet and subsequently use Cash Out on the bet, you will no longer be eligible for the promotion.
You will receive your Free bet after your qualifying bet settles.
Free bets are valid for 7 days.What else do I need to know?
Best odds guaranteed does not apply to bets placed with a free bet, or partial free bet.
You can use part of your free bets and save the rest for later as long as you use it before they expire.
Stakes are not returned with winnings if your free bet wins.
Your winnings will be credited to your main wallet.
If we find that you have taken part in this promotion using a duplicate account or that you have used more than one account to participate, we reserve the right to withhold your free bets and any winnings earned on the duplicate account.
Deposits made with e-wallets including: PayPal, Skrill, Paysafe and Neteller will not count towards this promotion
Visit Paddy Power for more terms and conditions
18+. For more info visit gambleaware.org

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Published on 9 July 2024inEuro 2024