England vs Greece prediction, betting tips and odds: Three Lions should kick on under Carsley

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Where to watch England vs Greece

You can watch England vs Greece in the Nations League at 7.45pm on Thursday, October 10, live on ITV1

Match prediction & best bets

England to win 2-0
1pt 9-2 bet365, BoyleSports

England to win 3-0
1pt 13-2 bet365, BoyleSports

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England vs Greece odds

England 2-7
Greece 10-1
Draw 9-2

Odds correct at time of publishing

England vs Greece predictions

England interim manager Lee Carsley enhanced his chances of a permanent appointment with back-to-back 2-0 Nations League victories last month and another smooth success is expected when the Three Lions host Greece.

Early goals from Declan Rice and Jack Grealish gave Carsley the perfect start to his first match in charge away to Ireland.

Record goalscorer Harry Kane marked his 100th cap with a second-half brace to see off Finland in England's second Group B2 game although he is not certain to start against Greece after suffering a knock while playing for Bayern Munich.

Those victories were achieved without Jude Bellingham, Phil Foden, Ollie Watkins and Cole Palmer, who are available for this week's fixtures against Greece and Finland. 

The embarrassment of attacking riches is illustrated by the fact that Palmer, England Men's Player of the Year award, was restricted to five substitute appearances during the run to the final of Euro 2024.  

Relegated to the second tier of the Nations League in September 2022, England controlled their games against Ireland and Finland well, allowing eight shots at goal – only one of which was on target.

That suggests splitting stakes between a 2-0 and 3-0 home victory is the way to go in the correct-score market, especially as Greece are missing injured striker Fotis Ioannidis.

The Panathinaikos man scored three of Greece's five goals in last month's wins to nil against Finland and Ireland and one of the other two was an own goal from Finnish forward Benjamin Kallman.

Crowned European champions in 2004, Greece have failed to qualify for the last three European Championship finals.

They lost on penalties to Georgia after a goalless 120 minutes in March's Euro 2024 playoff and their promising start to the Nations League campaign is likely to be dented at Wembley.

Greece lost 1-0 to France and 3-0 to the Netherlands in their two toughest away fixtures in Euro 2024 qualifying and Carsley will demand another fluent, focused performance from England.

Key stat

Only one of England's last 15 matches produced over 3.5 goals 

England vs Greece team news

England
Harry Kane looks set to miss out after picking up a leg injury last weekend. Kobbie Mainoo, Ezri Konsa and Morgan Gibbs-White have withdrawn due to injury so Curtis Jones and Tino Livramento have joined the squad. Phil Foden, Jude Bellingham, Cole Palmer, Ollie Watkins and Kyle Walker are available.

Greece
Benfica striker Vangelis Pavlidis should lead the line as Fotis Ioannidis suffered an adductor injury last weekend.

Probable teams

England (4-2-3-1): Pickford; Alexander-Arnold, Guehi, Colwill, Lewis; Rice, Bellingham; Saka, Palmer, Grealish; Watkins

Greece (4-2-3-1): Vlachodimos; Rota, Mavropanos, Koulierakis, Tsimikas; Siopis, Kourbelis; Masouras, Bakasetas, Tzolis; Pavlidis

England vs Greece bet builder predictions

Under 3.5 goals
Only one of England's last 15 games featured over 3.5 goals – the 2-2 draw with Belgium in which Jude Bellingham scored a 95th-minute equaliser.

Christos Tzolis to have over 0.5 shots
The young winger scored in Greece's win in Ireland and racked up six shots in two Champions League appearances for Club Brugge this season.

Cole Palmer to score at any time
England's goalscorer in the Euro 2024 final is set for a rare start after notching five goals in Chelsea's last three Premier League games

Pays out at 6-1 with bet365

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