Brighton vs Southampton prediction, betting tips and odds: Seagulls can claim south coast derby spoils

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Where to watch Brighton vs Southampton

You can watch Brighton vs Southampton in the Premier League at 8pm on Friday, November 29, live on Sky Sports Main Event & Sky Sports Premier League.

Match prediction & best bet

Brighton to win and both teams to score
2pts 13-8 bet365

Recommended

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Brighton vs Southampton odds

Here are the latest odds ahead of Brighton vs Southampton in the Premier League on Friday November 29

Odds correct at time of publishing

Want more top football betting advice? Make sure you take a look at Racing Post Sport's tips for more of the latest picks from our experts.

Brighton vs Southampton predictions

Fabian Hurzeler insisted he wanted to "challenge the establishment" when he was appointed by Brighton in the summer and his side have the chance to do exactly that on Friday, when a win over south coast rivals Southampton could move them up to second in the Premier League.

The Seagulls have quietly but confidently gone about their business this season, having gone fifth with their 2-1 win over Bournemouth last Saturday.

That win over the Cherries followed a victory by the same scoreline over Manchester City before the international break and their record of six wins, four draws and two defeats is the same as that of Chelsea and Arsenal.

They have drawn with the Gunners and beaten Manchester United, Tottenham and Newcastle this term and look a more cohesive unit than the team who finished 11th in the Premier League last term.

Joao Pedro and Kaoru Mitoma are excelling in the final third and they should cause problems for a Saints side struggling at the back.

Southampton led table-toppers Liverpool 2-1 until the 63rd minute on Sunday, only to capitulate and lose 3-2 against the highflying Reds.

That was a tenth defeat in 12 league games for Southampton and pressure is mounting on Russell Martin, who is reluctant to veer away from the team's possession-heavy approach.

Goalkeeper Aaron Ramsdale remains sidelined and his deputy between the sticks Alex McCarthy has conceded five goals in his three appearances after a poor display against Liverpool, while Jan Bednarek's absence at the back is also being felt.

Sitting back and trying to grind out a result is therefore not an appropriate approach for Southampton, who have looked sharper in the final third recently.

Saints have scored in seven of their last ten matches and their second goal against Liverpool was eye-catching.

Teenage ace Tyler Dibling played an excellent long ball over the top to Adam Armstrong, who showed terrific attacking instinct to wrongfoot the Liverpool defence with a turn and pass to goalscorer Mateus Fernandes.

They have scored just nine goals in the Premier League this term but their expected-goals figure is 15.71 and their forwards should draw confidence from their performance against the Merseysiders.

Despite their success this term, Brighton have just three Premier League clean sheets to their name, so a bet on the hosts to win and both teams to score looks the best punting strategy.

Key stat

Both teams have scored in the last seven meetings between Brighton and Southampton.

Brighton vs Southampton team news

Brighton
Lewis Dunk and Yankuba Minteh are set to return to the Brighton squad for this match but James Milner, Solly March, Jack Hinshelwood, Ferdi Kadioglu and Adam Webster are sidelined. Carlos Baleba is suspended.

Southampton
Goalkeepers Aaron Ramsdale and Gavin Bazunu are out, so Alex McCarthy will again start between the sticks. Jan Bednarek, Ross Stewart and Will Smallbone are all out injured.

Probable teams

Brighton (4-2-3-1): Verbruggen; Veltman, Van Hecke, Igor, Estupinan; Wieffer, O'Riley; Rutter, Pedro, Mitoma; Welbeck.
Subs: Dunk, Enciso, Adingra, Minteh, Ayari, Ferguson, McConville.

Southampton (5-2-3): McCarthy; Walker-Peters, Harwood-Bellis, Downes, Stephens, Manning; Aribo, Fernandes; Dibling, Archer, Armstrong.
Subs: Lallana, Bree, Brereton Diaz, Sugawara, Fraser, Ugochukwu, Onuachu.

Recommended

4/5

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Inside info

Brighton

Star man Joao Pedro
Top scorer Danny Welbeck
Penalty taker Joao Pedro
Card magnet Igor
Assist ace Kaoru Mitoma
Set-piece aerial threat Jan Paul van Hecke

Southampton

Star man Adam Armstrong
Top scorer Adam Armstrong
Penalty taker Adam Armstrong
Card magnet Tyler Dibling
Assist ace Adam Armstrong
Set-piece aerial threat Taylor Harwood-Bellis

Brighton vs Southampton bet builder predictions

Over 2.5 goals
Nine of Brighton's last ten matches have featured over 2.5 goals and this could be a high-scoring clash.

Joao Pedro to score
Joao Pedro has scored and laid on an assist in each of his last two matches and is worth a bet to find the net.

Adam Armstrong to be carded
Adam Armstrong has committed eight fouls in the Premier League this term, having gone into the book three times, and he could be shown a yellow in this south coast derby.

Pays out at 10-1 with bet365

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