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Tom Collins weighs up the chances of classy Falcon Eight for Dettori and Weld

Falcon Eight: the Chester Cup winner is the seventh foal out of Moyglare Stud Farm's wonderful producer Polished Gem
Falcon Eight: Dermot Weld is concerned about really testing ground for the Chester Cup winnerCredit: Alan Crowhurst (Getty Images)

6.10 Royal Ascot
Queen Alexandra Stakes (Class 2) | 2m5½f | 4yo+ | ITV4/Sky

Horseracing's premier Flat meeting ends with a race run over a distance more suitable to the Cheltenham Festival, in conditions more in keeping with the Welsh National.

The Queen Alexandra, Britain's longest Flat race, has attracted a maximum field of 20 runners, most of whom can be given a winning chance.

Chester Cup winner Falcon Eight, whose rider Frankie Dettori confessed he received one of his most exhilarating victories on the Dermot Weld-trained stayer, will be strongly fancied to back up his recent victory.

Further improvement is likely if he stays the 2m5½f trip, although his Prix du Cadran fourth over a furlong and a half shorter indicated it might be a stretch.

Willie Mullins, who has won this race twice, sends out 2018 Ascot Stakes third Stratum, who has won five of 19 starts on the Flat and has been lightly raced in recent years.

His stamina won't be running out in the final furlong and his owner, Tony Bloom, is known to love a punt. Watch the market for Stratum and Bloom's other runner, Withhold.

Ability to stay the distance is a big concern for Barbados, who will still be fancied in the market despite a career record of one win from 16 starts, and Morando, whose form has come over shorter trips. Similar worries apply to Mildenberger, although he shapes as if he will get home.

First and second in 2020, Who Dares Wins and The Grand Visir are both back for more
First and second in 2020, Who Dares Wins and The Grand Visir are both back for moreCredit: Edward Whitaker (racingpost.com/photos) / Pool

Last year's winner Who Dares Wins and runner-up The Grand Visir are back for more. However, they benefited from a below-par race last summer (85-rated Mukha Magic finished third) and may struggle against superior rivals.
Race analysis by Tom Collins


What they say

Alan King, trainer of Who Dares Wins
Who Dares Wins had no luck in running in the Chester Cup. He was trapped on the rail and Tom Marquand could not get out, but the horse finished full of running.

Jessica Harrington, trainer of Barbados
He's in great form and hopefully he will cope with the ground. He stayed on really nicely over 1m6f at the Curragh last time, so the trip might suit him.

Dermot Weld, trainer of Falcon Eight
The horse is fit and well. He travelled over great on the ferry. He's likely to run, but I would be concerned about the ground. The only time he's run on really heavy ground was in a Group 1 at Longchamp last October and he didn't handle it. The more it dries out, the better chance he has.

Silvestre de Sousa records his first winner since returning from injury on Morando
Morando: 'It can't get too soft for him,' says Alastair DonaldCredit: Getty Images

Alastair Donald, racing manager to King Power Racing, owners of Cleonte and Morando
Cleonte may not run. He's definitely better with faster ground but that's to be decided yet. It can't get soft enough for Morando. We're trying an extreme distance with him but we're quietly confident that shouldn't be a problem. In these conditions, he's a threat.

Jane Chapple-Hyam, trainer of To Be Wild
We've been looking forward it. He ran well at Newmarket and put another good show in at Goodwood, where he stayed and stayed and was closing in on the winner. You'd put him in your Placepot.
Reporting by Scott Burton


Saturday's Royal Ascot previews:

2.30 Royal Ascot: 2,000 Guineas favourite Point Lonsdale out to confirm Classic claims in Chesham

3.05 Royal Ascot: 'I think he's a huge price' – leading trainers on their Jersey contenders

3.40 Royal Ascot: can Highest Ground enhance Sir Michael Stoute's superb race record?

4.20 Royal Ascot: 'He's going exceptionally well and looks a million dollars' – Group 1 insight

4.20 Royal Ascot: Dream Of Dreams to dominate in bid to go one better? Graeme Rodway has his say (Members' Club)

5.00 Royal Ascot: 'There is no denying the phenomenal training that has gone into Rohaan'

5.35 Royal Ascot: 'He's a horse we like a lot' – Roger Varian could hold key to big-field handicap


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