2024 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe tips: the runners, the odds, the verdict
The Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (3.20 Longchamp) takes centre stage in Paris on Sunday afternoon, but who will be crowned champion? Get the lowdown on the star horses, including their trainers and jockeys plus big-race odds, in our comprehensive runner-by-runner guide to the Arc, also featuring our expert analysis and verdict on the outcome of what promises to be an epic race.
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2024 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe betting
Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (3.20 Longchamp, Sunday)
Forecast odds: 9-2 Sosie, 5-1 Look De Vega, Los Angeles, 13-2 Shin Emperor, 9-1 Al Riffa, 10-1 Bluestocking, 12-1 Delius, 16-1 Aventure, 20-1 Fantastic Moon, Mqse De Sevigne, 25-1 Continuous, Sunway, 40-1 Zarakem, 50-1 Survie, 66-1 Haya Zark, Sevenna's Knight
2024 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe: runners, riders and odds for Longchamp
1 Zarakem
Campaigned at about 1m2f this term, best form when winning Group 2 here (heavy) in April and second in the Prince of Wales's Stakes at Royal Ascot (good to firm); 3-3 over 1m4f/1m5f, albeit at a much lower level; faces a stiffer assignment back up in distance and wearing first-time hood.
Trainer: Jerome Reynier
Jockey: Cristian Demuro
Forecast odds: 40-1
Draw: 1
2 Haya Zark
Consistent form at 1m1f-10.5f this term includes a success in the Prix Ganay here (very soft); good second in Group 3 kept to Longchamp (soft) most recently; has won over course and distance but he was a well-beaten outsider in this contest 12 months ago and remains short of Arc standard.
Trainer: Adrien Fouassier
Jockey: William Buick
Forecast odds: 66-1
Draw: 13
3 Fantastic Moon
German colt who landed the Grosser Preis von Baden (good) five weeks ago, registering a second Group 1 win and taking his 1m4f record to 3-4; however, sole defeat at this trip came in last year's Arc when only 11th of 15, which suggests he's unlikely to make it second-time lucky.
Trainer: Sarah Steinberg
Jockey: Rene Piechulek
Forecast odds: 20-1
Draw: 2
4 Al Riffa
Has two pieces of very hot 1m2f form, namely second-place finishes behind Ace Impact (subsequent Arc winner) at Deauville in August 2023 and City Of Troy in this year's Eclipse (soft); recorded an easy success upped to 1m4f in the Grosser Preis von Berlin (good) most recently and could well improve further kept to this distance; shortlisted.
Trainer: Joseph O'Brien
Jockey: Yutaka Take
Forecast odds: 9-1
Draw: 9
5 Sevenna's Knight
Smart performer but has gained all wins over longer trips, including three Group contests at about 1m7f here (soft/very soft) this season; comfortably held in 1m4f Group 1 on penultimate start and likely to struggle in this prime race of its type.
Trainer: Andre Fabre
Jockey: Mickael Barzalona
Forecast odds: 66-1
Draw: 12
6 Continuous
Ended last season in top form, winning the St Leger then good fifth in this race; hasn't quite reached the same level this year, notwithstanding a Curragh Group 3 success, and failed to justify favouritism in the Prix Foy over course and distance most recently; yard has a bigger hope in Los Angeles.
Trainer: Aidan O'Brien
Jockey: Christophe Soumillon
Forecast odds: 25-1
Draw: 14
7 Bluestocking
Has blossomed this year, winning two Group 1 races against her own sex, latest the Prix Vermeille over course and distance (soft) in gutsy fashion from Aventure; runner-up in the King George and fourth in the International, both on good to firm, in between; has frame possibilities back against males.
Trainer: Ralph Beckett
Jockey: Rossa Ryan
Forecast odds: 10-1
Draw: 3
8 Mqse De Sevigne
Productive mare; five-time Group 1 scorer at 1m-1m2f, including last three runs (soft/good to soft); half-sister to several winners at about 1m4f and although sire's progeny are generally best at shorter he has sired an Arc winner; may stay the new trip but has the worst of the draw.
Trainer: Andre Fabre
Jockey: Alexis Pouchin
Forecast odds: 20-1
Draw: 16
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9 Look De Vega
Won the French Derby (10.5f, heavy) in ready fashion, taking his record to 3-3 and looking a leading Arc prospect; had excuses when beaten favourite behind Sosie and Delius in the Prix Niel over course and distance since, as he was perhaps unsuited by change of tactics (made the running) and reportedly wasn't in optimum condition following a break; should be fully primed for this main target and remains of strong interest.
Trainer: Carlos and Yann Lerner
Jockey: Ronan Thomas
Forecast odds: 5-1
Draw: 8
10 Shin Emperor
Yet to encounter softer than good but his brother Sottsass won the 2020 Arc on heavy ground; good third in this year's Japanese Derby (sole 1m4f attempt) then filled the same position, catching the eye, in the Irish Champion Stakes where he finished nicely having met trouble 1f out; has been prepared with this prize firmly in mind and likely has more to offer back up in trip; could well give Japan a first Arc win after many attempts.
Trainer: Yoshito Yahagi
Jockey: Ryusei Sakai
Forecast odds: 13-2
Draw: 11
11 Sunway
Criterium International winner at two; runner-up to Los Angeles in the Irish Derby, fourth in the King George and third in the St Leger since upped to 1m4f+ but those efforts, though honourable, suggest he's short of Arc standard; very wide draw doesn't help matters.
Trainer: David Menuisier
Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Forecast odds: 25-1
Draw: 15
12 Delius
Frankel colt who ran well behind Sosie in the Grand Prix de Paris and Prix Niel over course and distance (soft) the last twice, taking his form figures to 11132; still in only his first season, has progressive RPRs and may be capable of better still; solid-looking contender and represents a trainer who has landed two of the last four Arcs; one to consider.
Trainer: Jean-Claude Rouget
Jockey: Ioritz Mendizabal
Forecast odds: 12-1
Draw: 7
13 Sosie
Son of 2009 Arc winner Sea The Stars; successful in the Grand Prix de Paris and Prix Niel over course and distance (soft) the last twice, taking Longchamp record to 3-3 and overall strike-rate to 4-6; driven out to beat Delius and Look De Vega on latest occasion, enhancing his Arc claims; bids to emulate Rail Link, who won those two prizes before taking this contest in 2006 for same stable; leading player.
Trainer: Andre Fabre
Jockey: Maxime Guyon
Forecast odds: 9-2
Draw: 5
14 Los Angeles
Seems versatile ground-wise; Ballydoyle colt whose 1m4f form comprises a good third in the Derby and two notable wins, including the Irish Derby; creditable fourth (only a head behind Shin Emperor) in the Irish Champion Stakes most recently, shaping as if he'll relish this step back up in distance; rather lacks flair but has a gutsy attitude and should battle to the wire in this Arc attempt; enters calculations.
Trainer: Aidan O'Brien
Jockey: Ryan Moore
Forecast odds: 5-1
Draw: 10
15 Survie
Close second in the French Oaks then went one better in course and distance Group 2, both on good to soft; finished only seventh (well behind Bluestocking and Aventure) in the Vermeille since, spoiling an otherwise consistent record; faces a difficult task in this field, even granted a rebound.
Trainer: Nicolas Clement
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Forecast odds: 50-1
Draw: 6
16 Aventure
Daughter of Sea The Stars who won this race in 2009; fourth in the French Oaks then justified favouritism in Deauville Group 2 over 12.5f; good second to Bluestocking in the Prix Vermeille over course and distance (soft) most recently; needs further progress to win an Arc but that's not out of the question.
Trainer: Christophe Ferland
Jockey: Stephane Pasquier
Forecast odds: 16-1
Draw: 4
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2024 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe verdict
By Steve Boow, Spotlight tipster
Being well prepped for the race and suitably bred, SHIN EMPEROR has a great chance of giving Japan a first Arc success. He's open to further improvement back at 1m4f and looks set to run the race of his life.
Al Riffa, who has strong form and could well progress further at this distance, is second choice.
Respected colts Sosie, Delius and Look De Vega fly the flag for France and their interesting rematch could go any of the three ways, while Los Angeles ties in with the selection and looks unlikely to go down without a fight.
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Published on inPrix de l'Arc de Triomphe
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