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Derby festival

The Ballydoyle battalion and runners short on experience - three key talking points as the Derby field takes shape

Passenger (right): finished a luckless third in the Dante Stakes at York
Passenger (right): finishes third in the Dante behind The Foxes (blue) and White Birch (red)Credit: Edward Whitaker

After Monday's confirmation stage for the Betfred Derby, 16 horses remain in contention for the year's premier Classic at Epsom on Saturday. Dante third Passenger was supplemented and the key players at the top of the market all stood their ground, but what are the main talking points just five days out from the big race?


O'Brien gambling everything on Auguste Rodin

It is very much a case of all or nothing with Auguste Rodin and I would be shocked if he didn't go off favourite. Aidan O'Brien is throwing all his eggs into the basket of the Deep Impact colt as the supporting cast from Ballydoyle look to have little or no chance of stealing any of the spotlight at Epsom. 

Yes, of course, Wings Of Eagles and Serpentine won it at 40-1 and 25-1 respectively, but if either Adelaide River or Covent Garden win it it would be an even bigger shock in my eyes. 

40-1 shot Wings Of Eagles stunned punters in the 2015 Derby - but Aidan O'Brien's outsiders might not be to the same standard this time
40-1 shot Wings Of Eagles stunned punters in the 2015 Derby - but Aidan O'Brien's outsiders might not be to the same standard this timeCredit: Alan Crowhurst / Getty Images

It seems O'Brien is more than happy to forget the 2,000 Guineas ever happened. The way Little Big Bear was backed before the Sandy Lane on Saturday suggested punters were willing to overlook Newmarket and it could be a similar story with Auguste Rodin. 

Given the goings on at Haydock and the Curragh last weekend, the Ballydoyle camp could not be in better form and expect punters to latch on to that in the coming week. They will put their trust in the trainer rather than the horse.
David Jennings, Deputy Ireland editor

Passenger not the only contender who might lack experience

There will be plenty of talk about Passenger's lack of experience heading to Epsom, having made his debut at Newmarket in April, but several others will line up for just their third racecourse start, while others have endured a far from straightforward route to the Derby.

The twice-raced Artistic Star is the only unbeaten colt left in the line-up, although his warm-up was decidedly low-key in a Sandown novice race two days before the Dante.

Amo Racing’s King Of Steel was withdrawn at the start of the Dante and so will be making his first start for Roger Varian after just two runs with David Loughnane last autumn. Coincidentally, both colts won the two divisions of the same maiden at Nottingham. 

Waipiro storms clear at Newmarket last month
Waipiro: the Newmarket winner (red) has had three runsCredit: Edward Whitaker

Ed Walker at least managed to get a third run into Waipiro, whose original prep in the Newmarket Stakes was scuppered when jockey Tom Marquand was kicked by a rival on the way to the start. 

The good-moving son of Australia would almost certainly have missed the Lingfield trial on deep ground and was saved by the race being transferred to the Polytrack because of waterlogging. 

Most trainers would say you need a perfect build-up to win a Derby, although Harzand overcame a scare on the morning of the race to score in 2016.

In a year when the first colts' Classic was won by a horse who ran free after dumping the jockey leaving the stalls on his previous start, maybe we should expect the unexpected.
Scott Burton

Good to firm ground would be new test for several key players

There has been no rainfall at Epsom since May 12, and with none forecast this week, it must be extremely likely that good to firm will feature in the Derby day description. 

Military Order tunes up for Epsom by winning the  Fitzdares Lingfield Derby Trial
Military Order: Epsom's ground will be the quickest he has run on Credit: Mark Cranham

That will offer a new test for several horses near the head of the market. While the conditions will be safe, it will be the quickest ground encountered by Military Order and Auguste Rodin.

There are pedigree pointers to suggest it should not be an issue for those market principals but it is still an unknown. The Foxes won the Dante at York on good to firm and is 2-3 on such going,  while Arrest and Dubai Mile won novice races on quick ground.
Jack Haynes


Betfred Derby, 1.30 Epsom, June 3

William Hill: 7-2 Military Order, Auguste Rodin, 6 Arrest, 11-2 Passenger, 10 Sprewell, The Foxes, 14 Dubai Mile, White Birch, 20 Waipiro, 25 bar


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Read these next:

Who remains in contention for the Derby at Epsom after Monday's confirmation stage?   

Leading fancy Passenger set to be supplemented for Derby after Stoute gives green light to Dante third 

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