PartialLogo
Britain

Should you back or avoid these five favourites in the big races at Newmarket's Future Champions Festival?

Wild Flower and The Lion In Winter are favourites for the Group 1 races at Newmarket this week
Desert Flower and The Lion In Winter are favourites for the Group 1 races at Newmarket this week

We assess the chances of five favourites at Newmarket's Dubai Future Champions festival to determine whether you should back or avoid them at the current prices . . .


Untitled Document
Recommended Offer
4/5
NEW CUSTOMER OFFER

Get £40 In Free Bets When You Bet £10 On Horse Racing

NEW CUSTOMER OFFER
  • Generous odds on horse racing

Noble Dynasty

Race: Thoroughbred Industry Employee Awards Challenge Stakes (Group 2, 7f), 3.00 Friday

Odds: 11-4

Charlie Appleby's six-year-old has won five of his eight starts since being gelded, his most recent success coming in the Criterion Stakes at the July course on his penultimate outing.

The five runners in the Criterion Stakes are a combined 0-11 since, however, and that includes a heavy defeat for Noble Dynasty in the Lennox Stakes at Glorious Goodwood when last seen in July.

Noble Dynasty after winning the Group 3 Criterion Stakes
Noble Dynasty and William Buick after winning the Group 3 Criterion Stakes in JulyCredit: David Milnes

He has questions to answer on the back of that no-show, while any rain between now and Friday would be a concern as he is yet to race on ground softer than good.

Verdict: Avoid

Silk
Noble Dynasty15:00 Newmarket
View Racecard
Jky: William Buick Tnr: Charlie Appleby

Desert Flower

Race: bet365 Fillies' Mile (Group 1, 1m), 3.35 Friday

Odds: 7-4

The daughter of Night Of Thunder is unbeaten in three starts, impressing with wins in a maiden and novice on the July course before justifying favouritism in the Group 2 May Hill Stakes at Doncaster last month.

Recent May Hill winners Laurens and Inspiral followed up in the Fillies' Mile and Desert Flower's performance looked like one of a Group 1 horse.

Desert Flower: winner of the May Hill Stakes at Doncaster
Desert Flower: winner of the May Hill Stakes at DoncasterCredit: John Grossick

Her dam, Promising Run, disappointed in this race in 2015 and soft ground would be an unknown, but she looks the class angle in a race with the potential to cut up dramatically, so odds of 7-4 seem more than fair.

Verdict: Back

Silk
Desert Flower15:35 Newmarket
View Racecard
Jky: William Buick Tnr: Charlie Appleby

Lead Artist

Race: Space Blues Darley Stakes (Group 3, 1m1f), 1.15 Saturday

Odds: 7-2

John and Thady Gosden's colt has won twice in five starts, adding to a York novice win when landing the Group 3 Thoroughbred Stakes at Glorious Goodwood.

The three-year-old found only seven-furlong specialist Kinross too strong in the Park Stakes at Doncaster last time and on that evidence going back up in trip will suit.

Kinross (Rossa Ryan) wins the Park Stakes
Doncaster
Lead Artist: chased home Kinross in the Park Stakes at Doncaster in SeptemberCredit: Edward Whitaker

Any rain would be a concern, though, as he has twice been withdrawn on account of soft ground, while he is going to need to find some improvement to trouble the older horses.

Verdict: Avoid

Silk
Lead Artist13:15 Newmarket
View Racecard
Jky: Kieran Shoemark Tnr: John & Thady Gosden

The Lion In Winter

Race: Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1, 7f), 3.00 Saturday

Odds: 5-4

Was the Aidan O'Brien second string on jockey bookings and in the betting for a Curragh maiden on his debut in July, but produced a smart turn of foot to run down a more experienced pair and score at odds of 11-2.

He maintained his unbeaten record when a length-and-three-quarter winner of the Acomb Stakes at York next time and that form has worked out well, with the second and fourth winning Group races since.

Wimbledon Hawkeye (yellow) chases home The Lion In Winter ahead of Ruling Court (blue) at York's Ebor meeting
The Lion In Winter: winner of the Acomb Stakes at YorkCredit: John Grossick

An exciting prospect and represents a stable that has won this race five times in the last nine years, but the Charlie Appleby-trained Shadow Of Light comes into this on the back of a four-length win at this track in the Group 1 Middle Park Stakes and looks the value at the prices.

Verdict: Avoid

Silk
Shadow Of Light15:00 Newmarket
View Racecard
Jky: Tnr: Charlie Appleby

Sea Of Sands

Race: Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap (2m2f), 3.40 Saturday

Odds: 4-1

Has been a huge ante-post plunge since landing a maiden hurdle at Listowel on his debut for Willie Mullins last month.

Was a German Group 3 winner for previous trainer Jean-Pierre Carvalho and went off a single-figure price for the 2021 German Derby, so has enough in his earlier career to suggest that an opening mark of 97 could prove lenient, while his trainer won successive runnings of this race between 2018 and 2020.

He does look short enough at the 4-1 mark for such a competitive race, though, and only two of the last ten Cesarewitch favourites won.

Verdict: Avoid

Silk
Sea Of Sands15:40 Newmarket
View Racecard
Jky: William Buick Tnr: W P Mullins

Untitled Document
Recommended Offer
4/5
NEW CUSTOMER OFFER

Get £40 In Free Bets When You Bet £10 On Horse Racing

NEW CUSTOMER OFFER
  • Generous odds on horse racing

Exclusive offer: get £40 in free bets with Coral today

Coral are offering new customers £40 in free bets when you place a £10 bet on horse racing.

You can follow these simple steps outlined below to grab £40 in free bets to place on the big races this week. It's fast, secure and straightforward.

  1. Head over to Coral today through this link and click the 'Join Here' button
  2. Sign up for a new account, and create your username and password
  3. Place a qualifying bet of minimum £10 at odds of 1-2 or greater
  4. Get £40 in free bets on selected sports

Coral betting sign-up offer: key terms and conditions

It's worth taking a few minutes to read through the terms and conditions associated with the new player promotion before signing up with Coral. Doing so will help you get a better grasp of the details of the 2024 Coral betting offer and what's expected of you as a new player.

  • 18+
  • New UK+ROI customers only
  • Certain deposit methods and bet types excluded
  • Minimum first £/€10 bet within 14 days of account registration at minimum odds 1-2 to get four x £/€10 free bets
  • Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only
  • Free bets valid for seven days, stake not returned
  • Restrictions and T&Cs apply

Read these next:

'He must have a big chance' - layers taking evasive action as Willie Mullins dark horse heads Cesarewitch market 

'It's the ideal race' - Christopher Head aims to extend red-hot form with intriguing Newmarket challenger 

'Classy and straightforward' Derby favourite The Lion In Winter ready to tackle Dewhurst says Aidan O'Brien 


Looking for free bets? Racing Post have got the best offers, all in one place. Visit racingpost.com/freebets to find out more.


Commercial notice: This article contains affiliate links. Offers are handpicked and come from operators that our experts have first-hand experience of. Opening an account via one of these links will earn revenue for the Racing Post, which will be used to continue producing our award-winning coverage of horseracing.


Digital journalist

Published on inBritain

Last updated

iconCopy