PartialLogo
Britain

Should you back or avoid these five favourites at Cheltenham's November meeting this weekend?

Cheltenham's November meeting takes place this weekend
Cheltenham's November meeting takes place this weekend

Cheltenham’s November meeting takes place this weekend and looking ahead to what promises to be a fantastic three days of racing, we have assessed the chances of five ante-post favourites and decided whether they rate a back or avoid at their current odds . . .


Delta Work

Race: Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase (2.55, Friday)

Odds: 2-1

A five-time Grade 1 winner, Delta Work has won the last two runnings of the Glenfarclas Chase at the festival, most recently denying stablemate Galvin in March.

He is entitled to strip fitter for his reappearance third in a Punchestown Grade 3 in October, and the return to this discipline looks an obvious plus.

The Gordon Elliott-trained ten-year-old found a rating of 160 beyond him in the last running of this race, however, and he is racing off just a 1lb lower mark here.

Delta Work: defended the Glenfarclas Chase
Delta Work (far): saw off stablemate Galvin in the Glenfarclas Chase Credit: Patrick McCann

Verdict: Form figures in cross-country chases read 1131 but a mark of 159 asks plenty of him and softer ground would be preferable. AVOID

Silk
Delta Work14:55 Cheltenham
View Racecard
Jky: Tnr: Gordon Elliott

Mister Coffey

Race: From The Horse's Mouth Podcast Novices' Chase (1.45, Saturday)

Odds: 5-2

A third-season novice chaser whose record over fences currently reads 0-9, while his losing run stretches back to November 2020.

Has placed in chases at the last two festivals, finishing runner-up in the 2022 Kim Muir before a third in the National Hunt Chase in March.

He was last seen finishing eighth in the Grand National at Aintree, where he led approaching the final fence. His stamina appeared to give way in both the National Hunt Chase and Grand National, so dropping back to 3m½f should suit on his seasonal debut.

NEWBURY, ENGLAND - DECEMBER 28: Nico de Boinville riding Mister Coffey (red) clear the last to win The Betway 'Introductory' Hurdle at Newbury Racecourse on December 28, 2019 in Newbury, England. (Photo by Alan Crowhurst/Getty Images)
Mister Coffey: finished eighth in the Grand National earlier this yearCredit: Alan Crowhurst (Getty Images)

Verdict: A handicap mark of 142 shouldn’t be beyond him, but he is far from the easiest horse to win with and faces some unexposed rivals here. AVOID

Silk
Mister Coffey13:45 Cheltenham
View Racecard
Jky: Nico de Boinville Tnr: Nicky Henderson

Stage Star

Race: Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (2.20, Saturday)

Odds: 4-1

He produced form figures of 12111 in his first five starts over fences, culminating in an impressive victory in the Grade 1 Turners Novices’ Chase at the festival.

However, he failed to match that level of form when trailing home last of five in the Manifesto Novices’ Chase at Aintree when last seen in April.

Paul Nicholls’ gelding tends to go well fresh, but he is 13lb above his last winning handicap mark.

Stage Star: won the Turners under Harry Cobden
Stage Star: winner of the Turners Novices' Chase at the Cheltenham FestivalCredit: John Grossick

Verdict: Last season’s Turners winner but he is on a tough mark back in a handicap on seasonal debut. AVOID

Silk
Stage Star14:20 Cheltenham
View Racecard
Jky: Harry Cobden Tnr: Paul Nicholls

Jonbon

Race: Shloer Chase (2.55, Sunday)

Odds: 1-2

A winner of ten of his 12 starts under rules, his only defeats being second-place finishes behind stablemate Constitution Hill in the 2022 Supreme Novices’ Hurdle and the high-class El Fabiolo in the Arkle at this year’s festival.

He impressed when claiming the Grade 1 Celebration Chase — on his first start in open company — at Sandown when last seen in April, a win that produced a Racing Post Rating of 170. That figure would have been good enough to win eight of the last ten runnings of this contest.

He is open to improvement being a seven-year-old and his main market rivals Edwardstone and Nube Negra both have questions to answer after putting in disappointing performances last time out.

Jonbon: winner of the Celebration Chase at Sandown
Jonbon: winner of the Celebration Chase at SandownCredit: Alan Crowhurst (Getty Images)

Verdict: High-class novice chaser last season and potentially more to come this campaign; tough to oppose. BACK

Silk
Jonbon14:55 Cheltenham
View Racecard
Jky: Tnr: Nicky Henderson

Onlyamatteroftime

Race: Unibet Greatwood Handicap Hurdle (3.30, Sunday)

Odds: 5-1

He improved significantly on a couple of midfield finishes in maiden hurdles when promoted to first after finishing second at 25-1 in a Punchestown bumper in June.

He was not disgraced in third back over hurdles at Roscommon on his next start and still looked to be in contention before ducking left and running out when sent off the 3-1 favourite on his first start for owner Paul Byrne in his first handicap at Cork in August.

He has since left trainer Niall Madden and joined Willie Mullins. The stable switch has the potential to unlock some improvement and it is interesting to see him receive significant market support in the build-up to Sunday’s Greatwood Hurdle, for all that this is a marked step up in class from his recent assignments.

Onlyamatteroftime (right): 25-1 winner of a Punchestown bumper in June
Onlyamatteroftime (right): 25-1 winner of a Punchestown bumper in JuneCredit: Patrick McCann

Verdict: Crashed out late on when still in contention at Cork last time and he has since joined Willie Mullins. Market support is interesting but others have achieved more. AVOID

Silk
Onlyamatteroftime15:30 Cheltenham
View Racecard
Jky: Tnr: W P Mullins

Read these next:

Can Paul Byrne mastermind another gamble? Greatwood Hurdle fancy backed to score on first start for Willie Mullins 

Who wins the Paddy Power Gold Cup? Assessing the strengths and weaknesses of the big-race contenders  

Get set for the jumps! Join Members' Club now with 50% off just in time for the Big Jump Off and our brilliant stable tours 


Do you want £200+ of free bets? Racing Post have got the best offers, all in one place. Visit racingpost.com/freebets to find out more.

Do you want £400+ of free bets? Racing Post have got the best offers, all in one place. Visit racingpost.com/freebets to find out more.


Digital journalist

Published on inBritain

Last updated

iconCopy