2023 Betfair Hurdle at Newbury: assessing the top five contenders for Saturday's big race
The Betfair Hurdle (3.35 Newbury, Saturday) is the main punting puzzle on a busy weekend of racing. Here, we go through the form of the leading contenders and produce an early verdict on who will come out on top.
Recent form: 633-11
Strengths: Showed signs of ability for previous trainer Declan Wall and has seen his form take a big upturn since joining Emmet Mullins.
He landed a gamble on his stable debut at Doncaster in November and made light work of the quick turnaround to score under a penalty at a fog-affected Wincanton five days later.
He appreciates a quick surface and it’s notable that he now races in the silks of JP McManus.
Weaknesses: This is far tougher than his last two starts and he races off a 9lb higher mark than for his Wincanton success, which could prove too much.
Odds: 7-2
Recent form: 5143-3
Strengths: Winner of a Grade 3 juvenile hurdle last year before an excellent fourth in the Triumph Hurdle at Cheltenham.
He stepped forward on that form when third in a competitive handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse in December and has a very similar profile to Ciel De Neige, who finished a three-quarter-length runner-up in this race in 2020 for the same connections.
Weaknesses: Races from a 6lb higher mark than for that Fairyhouse third, which can be considered a little harsh as he was beaten five and a half lengths.
Odds: 15-2
Recent form: 8-112
Strengths: Useful on the Flat in France and was pitched in at the deep end when contesting the Grade 2 Adonis Juvenile Hurdle at Kempton on his stable debut.
He struggled there, but subsequent wind surgery hints that there may have been an underlying issue and he was much improved when claiming odds-on hurdles wins at Taunton earlier this season.
He chased home Rare Edition at Kempton last time and the front two were 13 lengths clear of the remainder. Likely to benefit from getting back on better ground and he should prove better than an opening mark of 130.
Weaknesses: Has been kept to right-handed tracks over hurdles and he is quite a free-goer, so may not appreciate being taken on for the lead.
Odds: 15-2
Recent form: 131-21
Strengths: A progressive handicapper who has won three of his last five starts, each of those wins coming under Angus Cheleda, who keeps the ride.
He quite possibly hit the front too soon at Cheltenham last time – and hung left – but showed a good attitude to fend off the useful Might I.
His form figures on left-handed tracks in Britain now read 14111.
Weaknesses: Has been beaten on the two occasions he faced good ground, including at odds of 4-9.
Odds: 15-2
Recent form: 6118-1
Strengths: Won twice over hurdles early last year before finishing eighth in the Imperial Cup at Sandown.
He regained the winning thread on his seasonal reappearance at Ascot in November, travelling very smoothly through his race and finding plenty for pressure to run out an eight-and-a-half-length winner.
That was only the sixth start of his career so he holds plenty of scope for improvement.
Weaknesses: Hiked up 10lb for that Ascot success, and it’s concerning he was below-par in the Imperial Cup, his only previous experience of a big-field handicap.
Odds: 10-1
Verdict
Filey Bay has been the horse latched on to by ante-post punters but this is far tougher than his races at Doncaster or Wincanton, and he hasn't been missed by the handicapper. In the same famous green and gold JP McManus silks ICARE ALLEN rates a better play at the prices. He wasn't far off the very best juvenile hurdlers last season and travelled like a horse with a bright future when third at Fairyhouse in December. He's presumably been kept fresh for this race and has plenty in his favour. Hacker Des Places hung left when scoring at Cheltenham last time and should be better suited to this track. If handling the ground, he can provide the selection with the most to think about.
Best bookmaker offers
- bet365 have a new customer offer available to get you ready for Cheltenham. Sign up here.
- Paddy Power are giving away free bets for Cheltenham to new and existing customers, and all you need is an account. Sign up here.
- Sky Bet are offering new customers free bets when they sign up. You can get them, along with money-back specials and extra places for Cheltenham, here.
- Betfair have lots of offers, extra places and money-back offers to get you in the mood for Cheltenham. Sign up for a new account here.
- New William Hill customers can prepare for Cheltenham and claim free bets and benefit from their money-back offers here.
- Ready for Cheltenham get a free bet from Ladbrokes today, simply sign up to a new account here.
- Don't have a Coral account? New customers can get one for Cheltenham here.
- If you're a new customer, Tote will give you a free bet. Sign up here to claim.
- Commercial notice: This article contains affiliate links. Offers are handpicked and come from operators that our experts have first-hand experience of. Opening an account via one of these links will earn revenue for the Racing Post, which will be used to continue producing our award-winning coverage of horseracing.
Read these next:
Confirmed runners and riders for Saturday's Betfair Hurdle at Newbury
Betfair Hurdle: 'He's grossly overlooked - I'd only be pleased with a win'
Festival subscription offer | 50% off three months
Sign up to receive On The Nose, our essential daily newsletter, from the Racing Post. Your unmissable morning feed, direct to your email inbox every morning.
Published on inBritain
Last updated
- Leading jump jockeys welcome 'transformative' new competition for ITV races with winning prize of £500,000
- Comment: Proper clarity is needed for whip rules to prevent a repeat of ludicrous Cesarewitch hokey cokey
- Good conditions expected for opening day of Cheltenham's November meeting with no rain until Saturday night
- Charlie Boss to rejoin the Jockey Club as interim group chief executive from next month
- Cesarewitch to be celebrated in Cheltenham as appeals panel sensationally gives prize back to Alphonse Le Grande
- Leading jump jockeys welcome 'transformative' new competition for ITV races with winning prize of £500,000
- Comment: Proper clarity is needed for whip rules to prevent a repeat of ludicrous Cesarewitch hokey cokey
- Good conditions expected for opening day of Cheltenham's November meeting with no rain until Saturday night
- Charlie Boss to rejoin the Jockey Club as interim group chief executive from next month
- Cesarewitch to be celebrated in Cheltenham as appeals panel sensationally gives prize back to Alphonse Le Grande