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Horse racing tips

Promising Run can take advantage of class drop at Newmarket

Saeed Bin Suroor: has two chances with Tumbaga and Mutarabby
Saeed Bin Suroor: trainer of Promising RunCredit: Alan Crowhurst

Valdolobo
3.35 Redcar

Promising Run
3.45 Goodwood

Tony Soprano
5.40 Kempton

Exprompt
6.40 Kempton

Valdolobo(3.35 Redcar)

Valdolobo finished within a neck of subsequent Listed scorer White Mocha on his debut at Haydock and should outclass his rivals.

The £34,000 purchase showed bright speed from the gates over a mile at Haydock and looked for a long way like fending off all challengers.

Karl Burke’s son of Lope De Vega was eventually run down in the final 50 yards, but the form looks strong and he shapes like he’ll be well suited by this drop in distance.

The others with experience set only a moderate standard and Saeed Bin Suroor’s debutant Muzaawel, who has plenty of stamina in his pedigree, could just find Valdolobo too speedy.

Promising Run (3.45 Goodwood)

The feature Foundation Stakes has attracted a good field with seven of the eight runners rated above 100, but it still represents a drop in class for Promising Run, who can take advantage.

A winner in Group 2 company in Dubai earlier in the year, she was also beaten just three and a half lengths in the Jebel Hatta on World Cup night and that form has received a hefty boost by the subsequent exploits of Decorated Knight.

She has been off the track for 207 days since then, but she has gone well after a break in the past and won on her reappearance this year.

She gets a handy sex allowance from six of her rivals and can continue the excellent record of older horses in this race, with only two winning three-year-olds in last ten years.

Tony Soprano (5.40 Kempton)

The application of first-time blinkers could make the difference to Martyn Meade’s Tony Soprano in a moderate nursery.

The son of Lethal Force showed only limited promise in three maidens over sprint distances, but he’s improved since being stepped up in trip and being gelded.

He posted a personal best when third on soft ground at Chepstow a fortnight ago, though he lost a place close home and may not have been entirely at home on the ground.

He switches to the all-weather for the first time here and shouldn’t be far away back down to 7f off just a 2lb higher mark.

Exprompt (6.40 Kempton)

The William Haggas-trained Barton Mills ran a pleasing race behind a Godolphin newcomer on his debut over course and distance at the start of the month and will be most people’s idea of the winner.

However, Hugo Palmer’s Exprompt wasn’t far behind him in third and his run looks worth upgrading given than he blew the start and covered more ground than most when kept wide in the first half of the race.

He was outpaced by the first two home in the final furlong but had done a lot of his running mid-race and is better than the bare result suggests.

Improvement will be required if he’s to turn the tables, but he’s nicely drawn in stall five and has the assistance of James Doyle for the first time.

At the likely prices, he’s an each-way bet to nothing and could be the one to take advantage should Barton Mills not run up to expectations.


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