Find out who's top of the class with our first-season sire half-term report
James Thomas runs the rule over the likes of Cable Bay, Gutaifan and Gleneagles
Assessing stallion performance can be a tricky business, particularly with first-season sires.
However, the emergence of the next generation of star sires provides a fascinating subplot to each campaign, and as such it is well worth digging deeper to discover who is flying and who is floundering.
With Glorious Goodwood now in the rear-view mirror, this year's first-season sire standings have become that bit clearer, so we have used four key criteria to run the rule over the class of 2019.
By number of winners
Winning is everything in racing and none of this year's first-season sires have supplied more successful offspring than Yeomanstown Stud's Gutaifan. The son of Dark Angel, who won the Prix Robert Papin and the Flying Childers Stakes during his sole season in training, has 18 European winners to his name.
His stud record is currently topped by Fan Club Rules and Istanbul, who recorded Racing Post Ratings of 101 and 100 respectively when they finished fourth and fifth behind A'Ali in the latest running of the Prix Robert Papin.
Three other first-crop stallions have hit a double-figure number of European winners, with Highclere Stud's Cable Bay and Darley's Dalham Hall resident Night Of Thunder both having made hugely promising starts with 14 winners apiece. Whitsbury Manor Stud's Due Diligence also catches the eye with 12 winners on the board.
Cable Bay and Due Diligence deserve a bit of extra credit for having supplied so many winners to date, having covered smaller books containing fewer quality mares during their debut seasons at stud. Both were available at just £6,500 when their first crops were conceived.
By winners-to-runners
While winners are what every stallion needs, the rate at which they are supplied can often be a revealing statistic when it comes to predicting who will prove capable of maintaining a fast start. By this measure, one first-crop sire (among those with ten or more runners) stands head and shoulders above the rest at present.
Night Of Thunder has not only sired 14 winners already, no mean feat in itself, but they have come at an impressive strike-rate of 52 per cent, having had just 27 runners across Europe. Moreover, that number features a trio of stakes performers, including unbeaten Group 3 Princess Margaret Stakes winner Under The Stars, indicating quality as well as quantity.
Others who are proving particularly potent at present include Due Diligence and Cable Bay, with the former firing at a strike-rate of 41 per cent and the latter at a similarly commendable 39 per cent.
By black-type performers
Any young stallion requires headline performers to propel him to success, so progeny capable of making an impact at stakes level are vital. A total of 13 freshmen have supplied a European black-type performer so far in 2019, with 12 of those having sired a stakes winner.
Topping the list of stakes-performing progeny is Coolmore's Gleneagles, who has already supplied an impressive five black type two-year-olds.
Hot on Gleneagles' heels is Cable Bay, whose four black-type runners are headed by the lightning fast filly Liberty Beach, who handed out a beating to the colts when running away with the Group 3 Molecomb Stakes. Highclere's son of Invincible Spirit has also been represented by the Listed-placed trio Isabeau, Ropey Guest and Visayas.
American Pharoah and Night Of Thunder have both supplied a trio of stakes-calibre runners, including one Pattern winner apiece. The former was represented by Maven, winner of the Group 3 Prix du Bois, while Night Of Thunder struck with Under The Stars.
Three more first-season sires supplied their maiden stakes performer this weekend. Derby and Arc hero Golden Horn was responsible for West End Girl, a game winner of the Group 3 Sweet Solera Stakes, and Prince of Wales's Stakes victor Free Eagle was on the mark with Listed Coolmore Caravaggio Stakes scorer Justifier. Tweenhills' Hot Streak, meanwhile, struck with Flaming Princess in the Listed Prix Cavalassur at Deauville.
By ratings
One of the most illuminating methods of assessing a stallion's performance, and also one of the least subject to variance and context, is through the Racing Post Ratings of his progeny. These results have been calculated using the average peak Racing Post Rating for each sire's runners in Britain and Ireland, with results taken up to and including Saturday.
It is interesting that Muhaarar also shows up well with a progeny average of 73. The son of Oasis Dream has perhaps fallen foul of the impatient side of the industry, but it is worth noting that he has sired six winners in Britain and Ireland since mid-July, including the smart prospects Custodian, Unforgetable and Yorkshire Gold.
Conclusion
It is, of course, still early days in the stud careers of this year's first-season sires, and plenty will change in the fullness of time.
However, it is hard not to be impressed by the start Gleneagles has made, with so many precocious talents looking particularly noteworthy given that he hails from the dominant Classic sire-line of the era.
Night Of Thunder has undoubtedly earned himself a host of new fans having supplied an abundance of quality performers too, while Gutaifan's trailblazing tally of winners should not be overlooked.
A special mention must also go to Cable Bay and Due Diligence, as they have punched well above their weight given that their results have been achieved without mammoth books of mares brimming with stakes performers, from relatively small fees.
More stallion news:
Golden Horn sires debut Group winner as West End Girl steals Sweet Solera show
Japan loses another sire legend as King Kamehameha dies aged 18
Cable Bay given green light to shuttle to Woodside Park Stud in Australia
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