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Big-race verdicts

'He's run three crackers this year' - who does Jason Weaver fancy in the Northumberland Plate?

The Saturday Jury is a staple of the Racing Post's weekend coverage and features five top judges from the world of horseracing dissecting the big races and helping solve some tricky puzzles for punters.

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It's Northumberland Plate day (2.05) at Newcastle. Who do you like?

Phill Anderson, Irish Spotlight tipster At a big price I've taken a chance on Good Show, who could be an improver over this new trip. He stayed a mile and six furlongs on soft ground last season and has shaped like a real stamina test would bring the best out of him this term. He's less exposed than most of his rivals having just his eighth career start and looks capable of outrunning odds of 20-1.

Cam Hardie, jockey Post Impressionist carries stand-out form after finishing behind the winner of a St Leger and is now rated 95, so could be crucially well handicapped. My only doubt is race fitness and the in-form Billy Loughnane on Adjuvant, with a lovely draw in seven, could be the one with a good position throughout the race.

Andrew Lobo, Ladbrokes All the money has been for Golden Rules probably due to the enthusiastic owner's interview on Sky Sports Racing, so good luck to him! Post Impressionist is pretty obvious against him and looks to be drifting to a fair price now for connections who have likely targeted the race.

Jonathan Pearson, Racing Post handicapper Law Of The Sea has been in good form this season and for me is the one to beat. He raced too prominently at Royal Ascot on his latest start and did well to finish so close considering. Provided this doesn't come too soon after Ascot, Richard Kingscote can guide him to victory.

Jason Weaver, broadcaster I'll go with Law Of The Sea. Like a couple of the runners in this he's got a good record on the all-weather with a record of one win from two starts. He has a good inside stall position in two and has run three crackers this year, including at Royal Ascot last time. He's in fine form and will like how the race pans out.

And what's your view on the Chipchase (12.55)?

Phill Anderson Spycatcher is the one to beat. He's at his best with a decent pace to aim at, something he should get here and he's been in fine form in two runs so far this term. A return to a stiff six furlongs should suit and he has race fitness on his side over a couple of his main rivals.

Cam Hardie I like the look of Mount Athos, who was beaten by Spycatcher last time when looking on the rise but had to give away 7lb that day, so the tables could turn. However, they all need to find form on level weights with the rating of Brad the Brief, who is the strongest contender in the field.

Andrew Lobo There are plenty with a chance here. Witch Hunter might need a big field to show his best, so I thought Mount Athos could be worth forgiving for his defeat to Spycatcher at Thirsk and back on the all-weather he might be able to dominate over six furlongs.

Jonathan Pearson Mount Athos has not been seen since finishing runner up at Thirsk and the drop in trip is likely to suit. Provided the wind surgery has its desired effect, this lightly raced son of Dark Angel can handle the step up in class to win at his first attempt in Group company.

Jason Weaver It's Tiber Flow for me. He has a strong all-weather record, but all the runners in this race have good all-weather form except for Prince Of Pillo. He's performed well at the track before, including when running a cracker behind El Caballo in April last year. It looks like a competitive race but he brings in solid form.


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